Publications
Publications:
(Underline highlights individuals in research group)
2023
- Rounce, D.R., Hock, R., Maussion, F., Hugonnet, R., Kochtitzky, W., Huss, M., Berthier, E., Brinkerhoff, D., Compagno, L., Copland, L., Farinotti, D., Menounos, B., and McNabb, R.W. “Global glacier change in the 21st century: Every increase in temperature matters”, Science, 379(6627), pp. 78-83, (2023), doi:10.1126/science.abo1324. [This paper was chosen by Science as its cover article and was the subject of a research highlight in that issue of Science.]
- Zhang, G., Bolch, T., Yao, T., Rounce, D.R., Chen, W., Veh, G., King, O., Allen, S., Wang, M., and Wang, W. “Underestimated mass loss from lake-terminating glaciers in the greater Himalaya”, Nature Geoscience, (2023), doi:10.1038/s41561-023-01150-1. [This article was also the subject of a research highlight in the issue in which it appeared.]
- Hamlington, B., Rripathi, A. Rounce, D.R., Weathers, M., Blackwood, C., Adams, K.H., Carter, J., Collini, R.C., Engeman, L., Haasnoot, M., and Kopp., R.E. “Satellite monitoring for coastal dynamic adaptation policy pathways”, Climate Risk Management, 42, 100555, (2023), doi:10.1016/j.crm.2023.100555.
- Kochtitzky, W., Copland, L., Van Wychen, W., Hock, R., Rounce, D.R., Jiskoot, H., Scambos, T.A., Morlighem, M., King, M., Cha, L., Gould, L., Merrill, P.-M., Glazovsky, A., Hugonnet, R., Strozzi, T., Noël, B., Navarro, F., Millan, R., Dowdeswell, J.A., Cook, A., Dalton, A., Khan, S., and Jania, J. “Progress toward globally complete frontal ablation estimates of marine-terminating glaciers”, Annals of Glaciology, pp. 1-10, (2023), doi:10.1017/aog.2023.35.
- Schuster, L., Rounce, D.R., and Maussion, F. “Glacier projections sensitivity to temperature-index model choices and calibration strategies”, Annals of Glaciology, 1-16, (2023), doi:10.1017/aog.2023.57.
- Bustamante, M., Roy, J., Ospina, D., Achakulwisut, P., Aggarwal, A., Bastos, A., Broadgate, W., Canadell, J., Carr, E., Chen, D., Cleugh, H., Ebi, K., Edwards, C., Farbotko, C., Fernándex-Martínez, M., Frölicher, T., Fuss, S., Geden, O., Gruber, N., Harrington, L., Hauck, J., Hausfather, Z., Hebden, S., Hebinch, A., Huq, S., Huss, M., Jamero, M., Juhola, S., Lecocq, F., Lwasa, S., Mallick, B., Martin, M., McGreevy, S., Mirazo, P., Mukherji, A., Muttitt, G., Nemet, G., Obura, D., Okereke, C., Oliver, T., Orlove, B., Ouedraogo, N., Patra, P., Pelling, M., Pereira, L., Persson, A., Pongratz, A., Prakash, A., Rammig, A., Raymond, C., Redman, A., Reveco, C., Rockström, J., Rodrigues, R., Rounce, D., Schipper, E.L., Schlosser, P., Selomane, O., Semieniuk, G., Shin, Y.-J., Siddiqui, T., Vartika, S., Sioen, G., Sokona, Y., Stammer, D., Steinert, N., Suk, S., Sutton, R., Thalheimer, L., Thompson, V., Trencher, G., van der Geest, K., Saskia, E., Wunderling, N., Wübbelmann, T., Yin, J., Zickfeld, K., Zscheischler, J. “Ten New Insights in Climate Science 2023/2024”, Global Sustainability, (2023) doi:10.1017/sus.2023.25.
2022
- Kochtitzky, W., Copland, L., Wychen, W.V., Hugonnet, R., Hock, R., Dowdeswell, J.A., Benham, T., Strozzi, T., Glazovsky, A., Lavrentiev, I., Rounce, D.R., Millan, R., Cook, A., Dalton, A., Jiskoot, H., Cooley, J., Jania, J., and Navarro, F. “Frontal ablation: the unquantified mass loss of Northern Hemisphere marine-terminating glaciers, 2000-2020”, Nature Communications, 13:5835 (2022), doi:10.1038/s41467-022-33231-x.
- Byers, A.C., Shugar, D.H., Chand, M., Portocarrero, C., Shrestha, M., Rounce, D.R., and Watanabe, T. “Three recent and lesser-known glacier-related flood mechanisms in high mountain environments”, Mountain Research and Development, 42(2), pp.1-12, (2022), doi:10.1659/MRD-JOURNAL-D-21-00045.1.
2021
- Rounce, D.R., Hock, R., McNabb, R.W., Millan, R., Sommer, C., Braun, M.H., Malz, P., Maussion, F., Mouginot, J., Seehaus, T.C., and Shean, D.E. “Distributed global debris thickness estimates reveal debris significantly impacts glacier mass balance”, Geophysical Research Letters, 48, e2020GL091311, pp. 1-12 (2021), doi:10.1029/2020GL091311.
- Mishra, S., Rupper, S., Kapnick, S., Casey, K., Chan, H.G., Ciraci, E., Haritashya, U., Hayse, J., Kargel, J., Kayastha, R.B., Krakauer, N.Y., Kumar, S.V., Lammers, R., Maggioni, V., Margulis, S., Olson, M., Osmanoglu, B., Qian, Y., McLarty, S.R., Rittger, K., Rounce, D., Shean, D., Velicogna, I., Veselka, T.D., and Arendt, A., “Grand Challenges of Hydrologic Modeling for Food-Energy-Water Nexus Security in High Mountain Asia”, Frontiers in Water, 3:728156 (2021), doi:10.3389/frwa.2021.728156.
- Edwards, T.L., Nowicki, S., Marzeion, B., Hock, R., Goelzer, H., Seroussi, H., Jourdain, N.C., Slater, D.A., Turner, F., Smith, C.J., McKenna, C.M., Simon, E., Abe-Ouchi, A., Gregory, J.M., Larour, E., Lipscomb, W.H., Payne, A.J., Shepherd, A., Agosta, C., Alexander, P., Albrecht, T., Anderson, B., Asay-Davis, X., Schwanden, A., Barthel, A., Bliss, A., Calov, R., Chambers, C., Champollion, N., Choi, Y., Cullather, R., Cuzzone, J., Dumas, C., Felikson, D., Fettweis, X., Fujita, K., Galton-Fenzi, B.K., Gladstone, R., Golledge, N.R., Greve, R., Hattermann, R., Hoffman, M.J., Humbert, A., Huss, M., Huybrechts, P., Immerzeel, W., Kleiner, T., Kraaijenbrink, P., Le clec’h, S., Lee, V., Leguy, G.R., Little, C.M., Lowry, D.P., Malles, J.H., Martin, D.H., Maussion, F., Morlighem, M., O’Neill, J.F., Nias, I., Pattyn, F., Pelle, T., Price, S.F., Quiquet, A., Radić, V., Reese, R., Rounce, D.R., Rückamp, M., Sakai, A., Shafer, C., Schlegel, N.J., Shannon, S., Smith, R.S., Straneo, F., Sun, S., Tarasov, L., Trusel, L.D., Breedam, J.V., van de Wal, R., van den Broeke, M., Winkelmann, R., Zekollari, H., Zhao, C., Zhang, T., and Zwinger, T. “Projected land ice contributions to twenty-first-century sea level rise”, Nature, pp. 1-9, (2021), doi:10.1038/s41586-021-03302-y.
- Taylor, C.J., Carr, J.R., and Rounce, D.R. “Spatiotemporal supraglacial pond and ice cliff changes in the Bhutan-Tibet border region from 2016 to 2018”, Journal of Glaciology, pp. 1-13, (2021), doi:10.1017/jog.2021.76.
2020
- Rounce, D.R., Hock, R., and Shean, D.E. “Glacier mass change in High Mountain Asia through 2100 using the open-source Python Glacier Evolution Model (PyGEM)”, Frontiers in Earth Science, 7(331), pp. 1-20, (2020), doi:10.3389/feart.2019.00331.
- Rounce, D.R., Khurana, T., Short, M.B., Hock, R., Shean, D.E., and Brinkherhoff, D.J. “Quantifying parameter uncertainty in a large-scale glacier evolution model using Bayesian inference – Application to High Mountain Asia”, Journal of Glaciology, 66(256), pp. 175-187, (2020), doi:10.1017/jog.2019.91.
- Westoby, M.J., Rounce, D.R., Shaw, T.E., Fyffe, C.L., Moore, P.L., Stewart, R.L., and Brock, B.W. “Geomorphological evolution of a debris-covered glacier surface”, Earth Surface Processes and Landforms, 45(14), pp. 3431-3448, (2020), doi:10.1002/esp.4973.
- Rowan, A.V., Nicholson, L.I., Quincey, D.J., Gibson, M.J., Irvine-Fynn, T.D.L., Watson, C.S., Wagnon, P., Rounce, D.R., Thompson, S.S., Porter, P.R., and Glasser, N.F. “Seasonally stable temperature gradients through supraglacial debris in the Everest region of Nepal, Central Himalaya”, Journal of Glaciology, 67(261), pp. 170-181, (2020), doi:10.1017/jog.2020.100.
- Marzeion, B., Hock, R., Anderson, B., Bliss, A., Champollion, N., Fujita, K., Huss, M., Immerzeel, W.W., Kraaijenbrink, P., Malles, J.H., Maussion, F., Radić, V., Rounce, D.R., Sakai, A., Shannon, S., van de Wal, R., and Zekollari, H. “Partitioning the uncertainty of ensemble projections of global glacier mass change”, Earth’s Future, 8, e2019EF001470, (2020), doi:10.1029/2019EF001470.
- Hamlington, B.D., Gardner, A.S., Ivins, E., Lenaerts, J.T.M., Reager, J.T., Trossman, D.S., Zaron, E.D., Adhikari, S., Arendt, A., Aschwanden, A., Beckley, B.D., Bekaert, D.P.S., Blewitt, G., Caron, L, Chambers, D.P., Chandanpurkar, H.A., Christianson, K., Csatho, B., Cullather, R.I., DeConto, R.M., Fasullo, J.T., Frederikse, T., Freymueller, J.T., Gilford, D.M., Girotto, M., Hammond, W.C., Hock, R., Holshuh, N., Kopp, R.E., Landerer, F., Larour, E., Menemenlis, D., Merrifield, M., Mitrovica, J.X., Nerem, R.S., Nias, I.J., Nieves, V., Nowicki, S., Pangaluru, K., Piecuch, C.G., Ray, R.D., Rounce, D.R., Schlegel, N.J., Seroussi, H., Shirzaei, M., Sweet, W.V., Velicogna, I., Vinogradova, N., Wahl, T., Wiese, D.N., and Willis. M.J. “Understanding of contemporary regional sea-level change and the implications for the future”, Reviews of Geophysics, 58, e2019RG000672, pp. 1-39, (2020), doi:10.1029/2019RG00s0672.
- Shean, D.E., Bhushan, S., Montesano, P., Rounce, D.R., Arendt, A., and Osmanoglu, B. “A systematic, regional assessment of High-Mountain Asia glacier mass balance”, Frontiers in Earth Science, 7(363), pp. 1-19, (2020), doi:10.3389/feart.2019.00363.
- Mishra, S.K., Veselka, T.D., Prusevich, A.A., Grogan, D.S., Lammers, R.B., Rounce, D.R., Ali, S.H., and Christian, M.H. “Differential impact of climate change on the hydropower economics of Karakoram and Himalayan River Basins”, Frontiers in Earth Science, 8(26), pp. 1-22, (2020), doi:10.3389/fenvs.2020.00026.
2019
- Kirschbaum, D., Watson, C.S., Rounce, D.R., Shugar, D.H., Kargel, J.S., Haritashya, U.K., Amatya, P., Shean, D., Anderson, E.R., and Jo, M. “The state of remote sensing capabilities of cascading hazards over High Mountain Asia”, Frontiers in Earth Science, 7(197), pp. 1-25, (2019), doi:10.3389/feart.2019.00197.
- Byers, A.C., Rounce, D.R., Shugar, D.H., Lala, J.M., Byers, E.A., and Regmi, D. “A rockfall-induced glacial lake outburst flood, Upper Barun Valley, Nepal”, Landslides, 16, pp. 533-549, (2019), doi:10.1007/s10346-018-1079-9.
2018
- Rounce, D.R., King, O., McCarthy, M., Shean, D., and Salerno, F. “Quantifying debris thickness of debris-covered glaciers in the Everest region of Nepal through inversion of a subdebris melt model”, Journal of Geophysical Research Earth Surface, 123, pp. 1-22, (2018), doi:10.1029/2017JF004395. [Chosen by the journal as Research Highlight.]
- Lala, J.M., Rounce, D.R., and McKinney, D.C. “Modeling the glacial lake outburst flood process chain in the Nepal Himalaya: Reassessing Imja Tsho’s Hazard”, Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 22, pp. 3721-3737, (2018), doi:10.5194/hess-2017-683.
2017
- Rounce, D.R., Watson, C.S., and McKinney, D.C. “Identification of hazard and risk for glacial lakes in the Nepal Himalaya using satellite imagery from 2000–2015”, Remote Sensing, 9(654), pp. 2-19, (2017), doi:10.3390/rs9070654.
- Rounce, D.R., Byers, A.C., Byers, E.A., and McKinney, D.C. “Brief communications: observations of a glacier outburst flood from Lhotse Glacier, Everest area, Nepal”, The Cryosphere, 11, pp. 443-449, (2017), doi:10.5194/tc-11-443-2017.
- Quincey, D., Smith, M., Rounce, D.R., Ross, A., King, O., and Watson, C.S. “Evaluating morphological estimates of the aerodynamic roughness of debris covered glacier ice”, Earth Surface Processes and Landforms, 42(15), pp. 2541-2553, (2017), doi:10.1002/esp.4198.
- Byers, A.C., Byers, E.A., McKinney, D.C., and Rounce, D.R. “A field-based study of impacts of the 2015 earthquake on potentially dangerous glacial lakes in Nepal”, HIMALAYA, the Journal of the Association for Nepal and Himalayan Studies, 37(2), pp. 26-41.
2016
- Rounce, D.R., McKinney, D.C., Lala, J.M., Byers, A.C., and Watson, C.S. “A new remote hazard and risk assessment framework for glacial lakes in the Nepal Himalaya”, Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 20, pp. 3455-3475, (2016), doi:10.5194/hess-20-3455-2016.
- Kargel, J.S., Leonard, G.J., Shugar, D.H., Haritashya, U.K., Bevington, A., Fielding, E.J., Fujita, K., Geertsema, M., Miles, E.S., Steiner, J., Anderson, E., Bajracharya, S., Bawden, G.W., Breashears, D.F., Byers, A., Collins, B., Dhital, M.R., Donnellan, A., Evans, T.L., Geai, M.L., Glasscoe, M.T., Green, D., Gurung, D.R., Heijenk, R., Hilborn, A., Hudnut, K., Huyck, C., Immerzeel, W.W., Liming, J., Jibson, R., Kääb, A., Khanal, N.R., Kirschbaum, D., Kraaijenbrink, P.D.A., Lamsal, D., Shiyin, L., Mingyang, L.V., McKinney, D., Nahirnick, N.K., Zhuotong, N., Ojha, S., Olsenholler, J., Painter, T.H., Pleasants, M., Pratima, K.C., Yuan, Q.I., Raup, B.H., Regmi, D. Rounce, D.R., Sakai, A., Donghui, S., Shea, J.M., Shrestha, A.B., Shukla, A., Stumm, D., van der Kooij, M., Voss, K., Xin, W., Weihs, B., Wolfe, D., Lizong, W., Xiaojun, Y., Yoder, M.R., and Young, N. “Geomorphic and geologic controls of geohazards induced by Nepal’s 2015 Gorkha earthquake”, Science, 351(6269), pp. 1-18, (2016), doi:10.1126/science.aac8353.
2015
- Rounce, D.R., Quincey, D.J., and McKinney, D.C. “Debris-covered glacier energy balance model for Imja-Lhotse Shar Glacier in the Everest region of Nepal”, The Cryosphere, 9, pp. 2295-2310, (2015), doi:10.5194/tc-9-2295-2015.
- Somos-Valenzuela, M.A., McKinney, D.C., Byers, A.C., Rounce, D.R., Portocarrero, C., and Lamsal, D. “Assessing downstream flood impacts due to a potential GLOF from Imja Lake in Nepal”, Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 19, pp. 1401-1412, (2015), doi:10.5194/hess-19-1401-2015.
2014
- Rounce, D.R. and McKinney, D.C. “Debris thickness of glaciers in the Everest area (Nepal Himalaya) derived from satellite imagery using a nonlinear energy balance model”, The Cryosphere, 8, pp. 1317-1329, (2014), doi:10.5194/tcd-8-1317-2014.
- Somos-Valenzuela, M.A., McKinney, D.C., Rounce, D.R., and Byers, A.C. “Changes in Imja Tsho in the Mt. Everest region of Nepal”, The Cryosphere, 8, pp. 1661-1671, (2014), doi:10.5194/tc-8-1661-2014.